Markets have always moved more than investors expect. Prices rise, fall, stall, reset and surge again — a continuous rhythm of motion that often looks chaotic on the surface but follows a deeper statistical logic underneath. In times of uncertainty, many investors try to solve this motion by prediction. Yet the more volatile and structurally fragile markets become, the less forecasting helps. The more reliable question is not where markets will go, but how they naturally behave.
The structural advantage of realised volatility For those attempting to anticipate macro catalysts or thematic turning points, this movement can be unsettling. But for a risk-managed strategy built around realised volatility, it is a structural advantage. Rather than forecasting the next phase of the cycle, the process integrates with the natural oscillation of markets. When stocks move, the structure resets.
